A Jay Manifold email alerted me to Mitch Townsend's anticipation of this year's crop of Nobel Prizes
. He offers a rule of thumb on how some of those prizes will be distributed:
Many of the prizes for actually discovering something will go to Americans, and the prizes for doing things that make Europeans feel good will go to anti-Americans (Rigoberta Menchu, Peace, 1992; Yasser Arafat, Peace, 1994; Harold Pinter, Literature, 2005).
As of tonight, the Townsend Theory is scoring 5 for 5. This year's Nobels for Physics and Medicine are each shared by two Americans. One American - whose dad shares the 1959 Nobel in Medicine with another American - won the prize in Chemistry.
Update: It's Bush's fault.